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The Signal

No single relationship in the latest data is strong enough to call out. The figures below are the session as measured.

    S&P 500
    +1.14%
    7,637.76
    Official close · Sep 17
    S&P 500, up 1.14 percent, 7,637.76
    Source
    Observed
    Sep 17, 2026
    Cadence
    One official value per trading day
    Proxy
    SPY, the largest S&P 500 tracking ETF — not the index level
    Nasdaq Comp
    +0.39%
    26,522.55
    Official close · Sep 18
    Nasdaq Comp, up 0.39 percent, 26,522.55
    Source
    Observed
    Sep 18, 2026
    Cadence
    One official value per trading day
    Proxy
    QQQ tracks the Nasdaq-100, which is not the Nasdaq Composite
    Dow
    -0.18%
    51,682.64
    Official close · Sep 18
    Dow, down 0.18 percent, 51,682.64
    Source
    Observed
    Sep 18, 2026
    Cadence
    One official value per trading day
    Proxy
    DIA, a Dow Jones Industrial Average tracking ETF
    Russell 2000
    +0.51%
    3,068.00
    Last verified · Aug 14
    Russell 2000, up 0.51 percent, 3,068.00

    Entered 36 days ago and not refreshed since.

    Source
    Observed
    Aug 14, 2026
    Cadence
    Entered by an editor; does not refresh
    Proxy
    IWM, a Russell 2000 tracking ETF
    Across asset classesEach line carries its own observation time. They are not all from the same moment, and the page will not pretend otherwise.

    Rates & volatility

    10-yr Treasury
    -7.0bp
    4.940%
    Observed Sep 17
    10-yr Treasury, 4.940%, down 7.0bp
    Source
    Observed
    Sep 17, 2026
    Cadence
    One official value per trading day
    Proxy
    CBOE 10-year yield index; the Treasury's own daily figure is the fallback
    VIX
    -12.82%
    15.44
    Observed Sep 17
    VIX, down 12.82 percent, 15.44
    Source
    Observed
    Sep 17, 2026
    Cadence
    One official value per trading day

    Commodities

    Gold
    +0.60%
    $4,375.50
    Last verified · Aug 14
    Gold, up 0.60 percent, $4,375.50

    Entered 36 days ago and not refreshed since.

    Source
    Observed
    Aug 14, 2026
    Cadence
    Entered by an editor; does not refresh
    Proxy
    GLD, a gold ETF — one share is a fraction of an ounce, not the spot price
    WTI Crude
    +4.49%
    $107.02
    Observed Sep 15
    WTI Crude, up 4.49 percent, $107.02
    Source
    Observed
    Sep 15, 2026
    Cadence
    Published daily, typically several days in arrears
    Proxy
    EIA daily spot price via FRED — updated daily, not intraday

    Crypto

    Bitcoin
    +5.86%
    $80,844
    Last close · Sep 18
    Bitcoin, up 5.86 percent, $80,844
    Source
    Observed
    Sep 18, 2026
    Cadence
    One official value per trading day
    What actually movedThe last session we covered in full — Aug 14, 2026, 37 days ago. These are not today's movers, and the board above is.
    RDDTReddit +12% to +15.4%
    Index inclusionVerified

    Reddit is joining the S&P 500 before the Aug 18 open, replacing AvalonBay. Index funds tracking the benchmark have to buy it — a mechanical bid that has nothing to do with the business.

    NUNu Holdings +11% to +12%
    EarningsVerified

    Quarterly net income topped $1 billion for the first time, at $1.06bn — the profitability threshold the market had been waiting on.

    AMATApplied Materials Lower
    EarningsVerified

    Applied beat and raised guidance, and the stock still fell. When a good print is sold, the information is in the expectations, not the results.

    GLOBGlobant -5.8% to -12.6%
    Earnings + downgradeVerified

    A weak second quarter alongside a downgrade citing erosion of IT-services demand as AI automates the work. The AI trade has a short side.

    PYPLPayPal Higher
    M&A reportReported

    Shares rose on reported acquisition talks involving Stripe and Advent International. Nothing is agreed until it is filed.

    AVGOBroadcom -5.3%
    No confirmed catalyst

    A pullback after a strong run, with no company announcement attached. Not every move has a fundamental cause, and saying so is more honest than inventing one.

    Selected for having an identifiable cause, not for being the largest percentages. A price feed reports that a stock moved; it does not report why. Where no company announcement could be found, the row says so rather than borrowing a reason from the day's news.

    Data health
    7 at last close · 2 stale
    Every field, every source →

    Quotes for index and commodity ETFs come from a market feed during trading hours. Treasury yields, the VIX and WTI come from official daily series and are labelled with the day they were observed, not the day we fetched them. Where we quote a tracking fund instead of an index, the label says so.

    AnalysisOur most recent markets writing. The newest piece is 34 days old — this is explanation, not a live feed.
    Aug 17, 2026
    Aug 16, 2026
    Aug 15, 2026
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    Inside every edition
    • 01The Big Story
    • 023 Things That Matter
    • 03Stocks to Watch
    • 04Today's Economic Calendar
    • 05Earnings
    • 06One Number
    • 07One Chart
    • 08What Happens Next